Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.234953 0.272210 0.313452 0.362497 0.419241 0.482849 0.559593
2025-08-03 0.175521 0.225124 0.285797 0.365493 0.467498 0.593804 0.762313
2025-08-10 0.140911 0.193913 0.263378 0.361133 0.495319 0.673338 0.928004
2025-08-17 0.115091 0.167731 0.240713 0.349356 0.507245 0.728831 1.064412
2025-08-24 0.101717 0.155795 0.234515 0.357554 0.545439 0.822306 1.262878
2025-08-31 0.089566 0.143416 0.225293 0.358972 0.572342 0.900793 1.447118
2025-09-07 0.080555 0.134324 0.219390 0.363914 0.604109 0.988884 1.655327
2025-09-14 0.070668 0.122335 0.207135 0.356608 0.614491 1.043110 1.813827
2025-09-21 0.063184 0.113281 0.198378 0.353633 0.631030 1.108267 1.997051
2025-09-28 0.057851 0.107207 0.193805 0.357023 0.658441 1.194172 2.225512
2025-10-05 0.055357 0.105862 0.197248 0.374904 0.713455 1.334122 2.567267
2025-10-12 0.052383 0.103220 0.197947 0.387608 0.760024 1.463239 2.903060
2025-10-19 0.049350 0.100199 0.197765 0.398954 0.806010 1.597663 3.268068
2025-10-26 0.045658 0.095441 0.193723 0.402285 0.836730 1.706272 3.595567
2025-11-02 0.041536 0.089283 0.186162 0.397485 0.850165 1.781545 3.862955
2025-11-09 0.037110 0.081941 0.175332 0.384518 0.844848 1.817454 4.050714
2025-11-16 0.035157 0.079684 0.174841 0.393544 0.887576 1.958675 4.483766
2025-11-23 0.032757 0.076141 0.171175 0.395105 0.913901 2.067109 4.855963
2025-11-30 0.030888 0.073576 0.169352 0.400546 0.949479 2.199572 5.298448
2025-12-07 0.028218 0.068826 0.162076 0.392503 0.952776 2.258972 5.575508
2025-12-14 0.026132 0.065230 0.157063 0.389227 0.966964 2.345031 5.926872
2025-12-21 0.024678 0.063005 0.155039 0.392960 0.998588 2.475837 6.404303
2025-12-28 0.024270 0.063349 0.159249 0.412646 1.072173 2.716574 7.188865